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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Apr 20, 2026?

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Open Interest
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Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
35° or below 0%
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36° to 37° 0%
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38° to 39° 0%
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40° to 41° 0%
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42° to 43° 0%
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44° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official minimum temperature recorded in Philadelphia on April 20, 2026. It serves as a benchmark for local climate variability and meteorological data accuracy.

April in Philadelphia is a period of transitional weather as the region moves from late winter patterns into spring. Historical temperature records for this date can fluctuate significantly depending on the timing of cold fronts and atmospheric pressure systems passing through the Mid-Atlantic. Analysts often monitor long-range climate models and seasonal trends to gauge potential outcomes for late April.

Market prices reflect the collective expectation of weather outcomes, where higher prices indicate a stronger consensus for a specific temperature range.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What official data source determines the final outcome?

The official reading is typically sourced from the National Weather Service's designated observation station for Philadelphia, usually located at Philadelphia International Airport.

How does Philadelphia's climate typically behave in late April?

Late April is characterized by moderate temperatures, though the region remains susceptible to occasional frosts or unseasonably warm spells depending on regional wind patterns.

Does the time of day affect the 'lowest temperature' measurement?

Yes, the lowest temperature is defined as the minimum value recorded during the full 24-hour period of April 20, 2026, which usually occurs in the early morning hours.

Why is the lowest temperature in April harder to predict?

Spring weather in Philadelphia is notoriously volatile due to the competition between lingering cold arctic air and the onset of warmer maritime or tropical air masses.

What happens if there is a record-breaking weather event?

Extreme weather events are still captured by official station readings; the market settles based on the verified data reported by the official meteorological authority.

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