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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Apr 16, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
61° or below 0%
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62° to 63° 0%
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64° to 65° 0%
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66° to 67° 0%
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68° to 69° 0%
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70° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Philadelphia on April 16, 2026. It provides a way to hedge against or speculate on meteorological variability in the mid-Atlantic region.

April in Philadelphia represents a transition period as the region shifts from late winter volatility to spring stability. Historical weather data from the National Weather Service (NWS) serves as the primary benchmark for verifying the final, official daily minimum temperature reported for the city.

Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how regional atmospheric patterns will manifest on this specific spring date.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the official source of truth for the temperature?

The official daily minimum temperature recorded at the Philadelphia International Airport (PHL) by the National Weather Service is the final authority.

Does a temperature record count if it happens at midnight?

The market tracks the lowest temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 16, 2026, based on the official NWS reporting cycle.

How does mid-April weather historically perform in Philadelphia?

Mid-April typically features moderate temperatures, but the region is susceptible to sudden cold snaps caused by shifting jet stream patterns.

What happens if the official weather station data is unavailable?

In the event of a station outage, secondary verification from official NWS climate reports for the Philadelphia metropolitan area will be used.

Is the temperature based on the entire day or just the morning?

The daily minimum temperature reflects the coldest point reached at any time during the full 24-hour period of April 16, 2026.

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