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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Apr 15, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
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$0
Open Interest
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Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
59° or below 0%
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60° to 61° 0%
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62° to 63° 0%
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64° to 65° 0%
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66° to 67° 0%
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68° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official daily low temperature recorded in Philadelphia on April 15, 2026. These data points provide insight into regional spring climate trends and seasonal volatility in the Mid-Atlantic.

April in Philadelphia is a transitional month characterized by significant variability as the region shifts from winter conditions to spring. Historical meteorological data from the National Weather Service serves as the authoritative source for these observations, reflecting long-term climate patterns and the influence of cold fronts moving down from the Northeast.

Market prices represent the collective expectation of participants regarding the most likely temperature range, synthesizing historical weather data and professional long-range climate outlooks.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which organization provides the official temperature data for this event?

This market relies on official data reported by the National Weather Service (NWS) for Philadelphia.

Does this market measure the temperature at a specific time of day?

No, this market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded over the 24-hour period of April 15, 2026.

What happens if there is an extreme weather event on April 15?

The market outcome is determined by the official recorded daily low as confirmed by the National Weather Service, regardless of specific weather severity.

Are there historical records to help predict this temperature range?

Yes, traders often consult historical daily weather observations for Philadelphia to understand the distribution of temperatures for mid-April.

How does the urban heat island effect impact this measurement?

The official Philadelphia reporting station, located at Philadelphia International Airport, experiences distinct micro-climate conditions compared to the city center or surrounding suburbs.

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