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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Apr 7, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
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Open Interest
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Active Markets
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Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
37° or below 0%
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38° to 39° 0%
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40° to 41° 0%
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42° to 43° 0%
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44° to 45° 0%
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46° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official minimum temperature recorded in Oklahoma City on April 7, 2026. It serves as a data-driven barometer for regional spring weather patterns and climatic variability.

Oklahoma City experiences highly volatile spring weather due to its location in the Great Plains, where cold fronts from the north frequently collide with warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico. April is a transitional month characterized by wide temperature swings and the peak of the severe thunderstorm season. Historical data from this period reflects a broad range of extremes, influenced by broader seasonal climate trends.

The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of weather models and historical climatological data regarding the specific atmospheric conditions expected on that date.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What data source determines the official lowest temperature?

The official daily minimum temperature reported by the National Weather Service (NWS) for the Oklahoma City station.

Does a temperature record set during the previous night count towards April 7?

The official daily minimum is recorded during the standard 24-hour meteorological day, typically measured at the primary local weather station.

How does extreme weather, like a tornado outbreak, impact the temperature?

Severe storms can cause rapid pressure and temperature fluctuations, though the overnight minimum usually depends on the broader air mass dominance.

What if the weather station in Oklahoma City experiences technical issues?

The market relies on the official, verified data released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) or the NWS.

Why is the minimum temperature in April considered volatile?

April in Oklahoma features shifting thermal regimes where the region is sensitive to both rapid warm-ups and sudden late-season freezes.

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