| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 38° to 39° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 40° to 41° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 42° to 43° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 44° to 45° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 46° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official minimum temperature recorded in Oklahoma City on April 6, 2026. It serves as a data-driven barometer for regional meteorological conditions on a specific spring date.
Oklahoma City experiences highly volatile spring weather due to its location in the Great Plains, where cold fronts from the north frequently collide with warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico. Historical climate data for early April shows significant temperature variance, ranging from near-freezing frost conditions to unseasonably warm afternoons. This event captures the uncertainty inherent in mid-spring transitions in the central United States.
The market prices reflect the collective expectation of weather outcomes, where higher values indicate a consensus toward warmer minimums and lower values suggest a likelihood of cooler, post-winter air masses.
The official temperature reading for Oklahoma City is sourced from the Will Rogers World Airport (KOKC) station, managed by the National Weather Service.
In the event of a primary sensor failure, the market will typically defer to verified data from secondary National Weather Service-approved equipment at the same location.
April is a transition month where the risk of 'late-season freezes' remains possible, often triggered by clear skies and calm winds following a cold front.
This market specifically tracks the lowest temperature reached during the 24-hour period of April 6, 2026, which usually occurs shortly before or after sunrise.
No, the settlement is based strictly on the ambient air temperature recorded by the thermometer, excluding wind chill or heat index calculations.