| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 46° to 47° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 48° to 49° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50° to 51° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 52° to 53° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily low temperature recorded in Oklahoma City on April 21, 2026. These data points are essential for agricultural planning, energy load forecasting, and understanding regional climate patterns.
Oklahoma City experiences highly variable spring weather due to its location in the Great Plains, where cold fronts from the north frequently collide with warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico. Historical records for late April show significant volatility, ranging from late-season frost events to unseasonably warm mornings. This volatility makes the specific daily low a frequent subject of interest for meteorologists and weather derivatives traders.
The current market pricing reflects the collective anticipation of weather models and historical climatological data for that specific calendar date.
The market utilizes official records from the Will Rogers World Airport (KOKC) reporting station, as managed by the National Weather Service.
In the event of official station equipment failure, alternative reliable meteorological data sources or final reports from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will be used to resolve the contract.
No, the outcome is determined exclusively by the actual ambient air temperature recorded at the official monitoring station.
The lowest temperature is defined as the minimum dry-bulb temperature recorded at the official weather station during the 24-hour period ending at midnight on April 21, 2026.
Late April is a transition period in the Southern Plains where the region is susceptible to both lingering winter air masses and the onset of early summer heat, leading to high daily temperature ranges.