| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 39° to 40° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 41° to 42° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 43° to 44° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 45° to 46° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 47° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Oklahoma City on April 20, 2026. These data points are vital for understanding regional climate volatility and localized weather pattern anomalies.
Oklahoma City sits in a transition zone between the humid subtropical climate of the east and the semi-arid climate of the west, making its spring temperatures highly susceptible to rapid atmospheric changes. Historical records for late April often show significant variance due to the frequent movement of cold fronts from the Great Plains colliding with warm air from the Gulf of Mexico. Analyzing this market requires an understanding of mid-latitude spring meteorological shifts.
Market valuations reflect the collective assessment of historical climatological data and long-range seasonal forecasting models regarding potential thermal extremes for the specified date.
The market relies on the official daily weather observations recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS) station at Will Rogers World Airport in Oklahoma City.
The official record provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) or the NWS will be treated as the final authority, regardless of external anomalies.
This market specifically tracks the daily minimum (lowest) temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of April 20, 2026.
Spring in Oklahoma is characterized by 'clash of air masses,' where temperature swings can be drastic within a single 24-hour cycle, leading to wider variance in potential outcomes.
While rare, late-season freezes or frost events have occurred in Oklahoma City, underscoring the risk of lower-than-average temperature outcomes.