| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 28° to 29° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 30° to 31° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 32° to 33° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 34° to 35° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 36° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in New York City on April 21, 2026. It allows participants to hedge against or speculate on spring weather volatility in a major urban center.
April in New York City is a transitional climate period where the lingering effects of winter clash with early spring warmth. Historical data shows significant variance in daily lows during this month, influenced by Atlantic storm tracks, shifting jet streams, and urban heat island effects.
The current market pricing reflects the collective expectation of weather patterns and historical climate trends for that specific calendar date.
The official reading is typically based on the National Weather Service data collected at the Central Park observation site.
It represents the lowest ambient air temperature recorded by the designated official station during the 24-hour period of April 21, 2026.
Yes, unexpected late-season cold snaps or storms can drastically lower the minimum temperature compared to seasonal averages.
The market resolution relies on the final, verified data published by the National Weather Service or the designated official meteorological source.
No, this market tracks the actual recorded air temperature, not wind chill or heat index values.