| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 37° to 38° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 39° to 40° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 41° to 42° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 43° to 44° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 45° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market allows participants to forecast the daily minimum temperature recorded in New York City on April 20, 2026. These data points provide insight into regional climate trends and the variability of mid-spring weather in the Northeastern United States.
April in New York City is a transitional month characterized by significant volatility as winter systems dissipate and spring warmth begins to stabilize. Historical weather data from Central Park serves as the primary benchmark for official temperature readings, reflecting long-term climatological shifts and urban heat island effects.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of meteorological conditions for that specific date, synthesized from historical averages and seasonal forecasts.
Official readings for this market are sourced from the National Weather Service station located in Central Park, New York City.
The market resolves based on the official recorded daily minimum temperature regardless of the cause, provided the measurement is verified by the National Weather Service.
The outcome is determined by the minimum temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 20, 2026.
Historically, NYC experiences high variability in April, with lows frequently fluctuating between the upper 30s and low 50s degrees Fahrenheit.
Settlement occurs once the National Weather Service releases the finalized daily climate summary for April 20, 2026.