| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 62° to 63° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 64° to 65° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 66° to 67° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° to 69° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in New York City on April 16, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against weather-related volatility or speculating on localized climate patterns.
April in New York City is a transitional period, characterized by high variability as the region shifts from winter conditions to spring warmth. Historical data from Central Park indicates that mid-April temperatures typically range from the low 40s to the high 50s Fahrenheit, though extreme cold snaps or unseasonable heat waves occasionally disrupt these trends. Analysts look to multi-year climate averages and long-range meteorological forecasts to gauge the likelihood of specific temperature brackets.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of traders regarding the probability of each temperature range, reflecting the integration of historical climatology and current meteorological models.
The official lowest temperature for this market is typically derived from the National Weather Service (NWS) reporting station at Central Park, NYC.
It refers to the minimum air temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of April 16, 2026, as finalized by official meteorological agencies.
No, the outcomes are based exclusively on the ambient air temperature, not the 'feels-like' temperature adjusted for wind or humidity.
The market relies on verified official government data; any anomalies or extreme records will be reflected in the final data provided by the designated reporting station.
Trading availability depends on the specific market rules regarding the closing time, typically ceasing shortly before the start or during the day of the event.