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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in Miami on Mar 30, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
64° or below 0%
$0 Trade →
65° to 66° 0%
$0 Trade →
67° to 68° 0%
$0 Trade →
69° to 70° 0%
$0 Trade →
71° to 72° 0%
$0 Trade →
73° or above 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market tracks the official minimum temperature recorded in Miami on March 30, 2026. It serves as a data-driven measure of late-season atmospheric conditions in South Florida.

Miami’s climate in late March is typically governed by the transition from winter to spring, often characterized by mild overnight lows. Meteorological data from the National Weather Service (NWS) is the standard reference point for historical extremes and daily averages during this time of year.

Market valuations reflect the collective assessment of incoming meteorological data, seasonal climate patterns, and potential weather anomalies.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What data source determines the winner?

The official daily minimum temperature data provided by the National Weather Service (NWS) for the Miami station.

What happens if a tropical storm or extreme weather event occurs?

The market relies on the official recorded low temperature regardless of the meteorological cause or weather severity.

How is the 'lowest temperature' defined?

It is defined as the minimum dry-bulb temperature recorded at the official monitoring station during the 24-hour period of March 30, 2026.

Is the temperature based on the average of multiple sensors?

No, the market relies on the official NWS-reported minimum temperature for the designated Miami location.

Does the outcome account for wind chill or humidity?

No, the market strictly tracks the actual ambient air temperature as recorded by official instrumentation.

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