| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 64° to 65° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 66° to 67° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° to 69° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market allows participants to predict the minimum temperature recorded in Miami, Florida, on April 7, 2026. These forecasts reflect collective expectations regarding local atmospheric conditions for this specific spring date.
April in Miami marks the transition from the dry season to the wetter summer months, typically characterized by mild to warm conditions. Historical temperature data for Miami in early April generally shows stable, moderate minimums, though anomalies caused by cold fronts or unseasonably warm air masses can create significant variance. Meteorological records from the National Weather Service are used as the objective source for determining the outcome.
Participants use this market to express their outlook on regional climate trends based on historical meteorological data and long-range seasonal climate models.
The official data is derived from the temperature readings recorded at the official National Weather Service station at Miami International Airport.
The lowest temperature is defined as the minimum dry-bulb temperature recorded within the 24-hour period of April 7, 2026, based on the official daily climatological summary.
While April is generally stable, the region can experience rapid shifts in temperature depending on whether the prevailing winds arrive from the Atlantic Ocean or the continental United States.
No, the market is strictly based on the actual measured ambient air temperature, not wind chill or heat index values.
The market will settle based on the verified data reported by the National Weather Service, regardless of whether the recorded temperature is considered a historical anomaly.