| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 64° to 65° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 66° to 67° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° to 69° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Miami, Florida, on April 21, 2026. Monitoring localized weather data helps investors and residents hedge against climate-related volatility in one of the U.S.'s most climate-sensitive coastal regions.
Miami’s climate is tropical, characterized by consistent warmth throughout the spring, though cold fronts occasionally push down from the north during transitional months. Historical data for late April in South Florida generally shows overnight lows in the high 60s or low 70s Fahrenheit. However, anomalies such as late-season high-pressure systems or stalled fronts can cause significant deviations from the seasonal mean.
Market prices represent the collective outlook on the likelihood of the daily minimum temperature falling into specific numerical ranges. Traders analyze meteorological models and historical climate patterns to determine where the final reading will likely land.
The market utilizes official readings reported by the National Weather Service, typically from the Miami International Airport observation station.
The outcome is based strictly on the official data recorded by the designated weather authority for that calendar day, regardless of external conditions.
The 'lowest temperature' refers to the minimum daily temperature value recorded for the 24-hour period of April 21, 2026, as defined by meteorological record-keeping.
No, the market is strictly tied to the ambient air temperature recorded by standard thermometer equipment, not heat index or wind chill metrics.
While long-term seasonal trends can be analyzed now, high-accuracy weather forecasting models typically provide the most reliable data within 7 to 10 days of the target date.