| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 66° to 67° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 68° to 69° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 70° to 71° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 72° to 73° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 74° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Miami, Florida, on April 20, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against weather-related volatility or speculating on localized climate patterns.
April in Miami marks the end of the dry season, characterized by mild to warm conditions as the region transitions toward the humid summer months. Historical data indicates that while extreme cold is rare this late in the spring, localized weather phenomena can cause significant fluctuations from the seasonal norm. Participants should consider long-range meteorological forecasts and climate trends when evaluating the various temperature brackets.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of meteorological outcomes; higher valuations on specific bins indicate a market consensus that the temperature will likely settle within that range.
This market relies on official data from the National Weather Service station located at Miami International Airport (MIA).
It refers to the minimum air temperature recorded during the 24-hour period spanning April 20, 2026.
In the event of a station outage or data discrepancy, official records published by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will serve as the final source of truth.
Typically, daily lows in Miami during late April hover in the high 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, though extremes can occur based on incoming fronts.
No, this market specifically tracks the ambient air temperature, not the heat index or dew point values.