| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° to 55° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° to 57° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 58° to 59° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 60° to 61° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 62° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on March 30, 2026. It serves as a benchmark for localized climate volatility and regional weather modeling.
Los Angeles weather in late March is typically influenced by the transition from winter to spring, characterized by a mix of marine layer cooling and potential early-season heat waves. Historical records for this date often fall within a specific range, though shifting climate patterns and the influence of phenomena like El Niño or La Niña can drive unexpected deviations. Data is primarily sourced from official meteorological reporting stations within the Los Angeles metropolitan area.
Market participants aggregate available meteorological forecasts and historical climate trends to reflect the perceived likelihood of the temperature falling within specific ranges.
The market relies on official data provided by the National Weather Service (NWS) or the designated primary reporting station for Los Angeles (typically LAX).
The lowest temperature is defined as the minimum value recorded by the official reporting station over the 24-hour period of March 30, 2026, local time.
In the event of anomalous data or equipment failure, the market resolution will defer to the official, verified records released by the governing meteorological authority.
No, the market is based strictly on the raw, dry-bulb air temperature as recorded by official monitoring instruments.
Late March marks a transition period where the region can experience significant swings between cool, moist air from the ocean and warmer, dry air from inland regions.