| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 57° to 58° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 59° to 60° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 61° to 62° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 63° to 64° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to predict the lowest air temperature recorded in Los Angeles on March 29, 2026. It matters for weather-sensitive planning and provides a real-time indicator of expectations for that night's minimum temperature.
Late March in Los Angeles sits between winter and spring, so night-time minima can be influenced by both lingering cool systems and warming trends; regional drivers like Pacific frontal passages, ENSO phase, and local wind patterns shape variability. Urban microclimates and the specific observing site within the Los Angeles area also affect reported lows, so outcomes should be read in the context of the chosen station and local conditions.
Market prices express collective expectations across the predefined outcome buckets for that specific date and station; treat prices as a dynamic signal to be considered alongside meteorological forecasts and the official observational record.
The event's resolution is governed by the market's rules, which specify the official reporting station and data source (for example an NWS/NOAA or other designated station); consult the event page for the named station and source used for resolution.
Most markets use the local calendar day (00:00 to 23:59 local time) at the designated station to define that date's minimum; verify the event rules to confirm the precise observation window for this market.
Outcomes correspond to the predefined temperature ranges or bins shown on the event page; the winning outcome is the bin that contains the official lowest observed temperature reported by the specified data source according to the market's resolution rules.
Resolution typically occurs after the official daily observational summary is published and any necessary quality checks are complete; the exact timing (hours or days after the date) depends on the platform's processing and is specified in the event rules or resolution notice.
The market's resolution policy addresses missing or revised data—common procedures include using an alternate official source named in the rules, applying tie-breaking procedures, or following the platform's dispute resolution process; check the event page for the specific fallback and dispute procedures.