| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55° to 56° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 57° to 58° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 63° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 61° to 62° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 59° to 60° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which outcome will correspond to the lowest air temperature recorded in Los Angeles on March 24, 2026. It matters to weather-sensitive planners and reflects short-term variability in local meteorology.
Los Angeles contains a wide range of microclimates—from coastal marine influence to warmer inland and elevated neighborhoods—so a single calendar date can produce very different low temperatures depending on synoptic conditions and location. Late March is a transitional month when the Pacific storm track, passing cold fronts, and the strength of the marine layer all commonly affect overnight lows. Market resolution depends on the specific station or dataset named in the event rules.
Market odds aggregate participant expectations and new weather observations into a single indicator of consensus about which outcome will occur; treat them as a real-time measure of collective judgment rather than a fixed forecast.
The event resolves to the authoritative source named in the market’s resolution rules—commonly an NWS/NOAA observing station or a specified official dataset. Check the event page for the exact station or dataset that is binding for resolution.
Resolution typically uses the minimum recorded during the local calendar day for Los Angeles (00:00 to 23:59:59 local time), but you should confirm the market’s timing rules because some events specify UTC windows or alternate definitions.
That depends on the market’s definition; many markets tie resolution to one designated official station, while others specify an aggregated dataset. The event's resolution section will state whether a single station or a broader dataset is used.
Outcome labels and the market’s resolution rules define rounding or binning (for example, whole-degree bins or specific ranges). Always read the outcome descriptions and resolution policy to see exact rounding or tie-breaking procedures.
The market’s resolution policy will address data gaps and post-event revisions—common approaches include using the next-best official station, applying QC'd archival data, or adhering to the official agency’s revised value. Check the event page for the fallback/resolution protocol.