| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50° to 51° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 52° to 53° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° to 55° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° to 57° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 58° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the daily minimum temperature recorded in Los Angeles on April 3, 2026. It serves as a data-driven tool for analyzing regional climate variability and historical spring weather patterns in Southern California.
April in Los Angeles typically features a transition from late winter conditions to warmer spring weather, often influenced by the 'May Gray' marine layer onset. Historical temperature records for early April show significant variance based on Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures and regional atmospheric pressure systems. These fluctuations make precise temperature forecasting for specific spring dates a focus for meteorologists and climate researchers.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how atmospheric variables on that specific day will align with historical temperature distributions.
The result is typically derived from the official National Weather Service reporting station located at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX).
A thick marine layer acts as an insulating blanket, often keeping nighttime low temperatures higher by preventing heat from escaping into the atmosphere.
No, the market tracks the specific official low recorded at the designated LAX reporting site, which may differ significantly from inland areas like the San Fernando Valley.
Markets of this type generally rely on the official data published by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA); in the event of missing or erroneous data, the governing policy of the exchange determines the outcome based on alternative official sources.
Santa Ana winds are dry, compressional winds that can lead to clearer skies and lower humidity, often resulting in lower nighttime temperatures due to increased radiative cooling.