| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° to 54° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55° to 56° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 57° to 58° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 59° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily low temperature recorded in Los Angeles on April 20, 2026. It provides a structured way to speculate on localized climate data and seasonal weather patterns in Southern California.
April in Los Angeles typically reflects a transition from spring to early summer, with temperatures influenced heavily by the Pacific Ocean's marine layer. Historical low temperatures for this date are subject to atmospheric variability, including El Niño or La Niña cycles and regional microclimate effects.
The market prices reflect the aggregate market sentiment regarding the likelihood of the daily low falling into specific temperature ranges.
The market utilizes official records provided by the National Weather Service (NWS) for Los Angeles, typically based at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX).
It is defined as the minimum temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of April 20, 2026, as finalized in the official NWS daily climate summary.
The market resolves based on the official recorded low temperature, regardless of whether that temperature was caused by standard seasonal conditions or anomalous weather patterns.
Yes, while the official NWS recording station is the standard for resolution, local temperatures across Los Angeles can vary significantly due to distance from the coast and elevation.
The market closes shortly before the date in question and settles once the National Weather Service publishes the certified climate data for April 20, 2026.