| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° to 55° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° to 57° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 58° to 59° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 60° to 61° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 62° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded at Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas on April 7, 2026. It provides a way to hedge against or speculate on meteorological variability in the desert climate.
Las Vegas weather in early April is characterized by the transition from cool spring mornings to warming afternoons, with temperatures significantly influenced by high-pressure ridges and desert air dryness. Historical data for this date typically reflects a wide diurnal range, making the nightly low a frequent point of volatility for meteorologists and energy grid planners.
The current market pricing reflects the collective anticipation of how atmospheric patterns and regional climate trends will manifest on that specific date.
The official daily low is determined by data recorded at Harry Reid International Airport (KLAS), which serves as the standard reporting point for Las Vegas weather.
The lowest temperature is defined as the minimum dry-bulb temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of April 7, 2026, UTC or local standard time as specified by the official source.
The market resolves based on the official, finalized data released by the National Weather Service, regardless of any anomalous weather conditions.
No, trading typically halts once the date has passed and the official data is being finalized for verification.
The desert's low humidity allows for rapid cooling at night, as there is little water vapor in the air to trap the heat absorbed by the ground during the day.