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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Apr 6, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
56° or below 0%
$0 Trade →
57° to 58° 0%
$0 Trade →
59° to 60° 0%
$0 Trade →
61° to 62° 0%
$0 Trade →
63° to 64° 0%
$0 Trade →
65° or above 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market predicts the daily minimum temperature recorded at Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas, Nevada, on April 6, 2026. Weather-based derivatives like this allow participants to hedge against or speculate on meteorological volatility in major urban centers.

Las Vegas experiences significant diurnal temperature variation due to its high-desert climate, making daily minimums highly sensitive to seasonal shifts. Historical records for early April typically show a transitional period between late winter cooling and the onset of intense desert heat. Data for this market is derived from official National Weather Service reports at the primary observation station.

Market prices represent the collective expectation of future temperature ranges, factoring in historical climate averages and long-range meteorological models.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What data source determines the final outcome?

The official daily climate summary provided by the National Weather Service for the Harry Reid International Airport (KLAS) station.

Does this market account for wind chill or 'feels like' temperatures?

No, the market is strictly based on the ambient air temperature recorded by standardized meteorological instruments.

What happens if there is extreme weather or a station outage?

The market resolution relies on official reports; in the event of missing or disputed data, the contract will look to secondary official NWS records for the specified location.

How does the desert climate affect volatility for this specific date?

April in Las Vegas is characterized by high variance; clear skies often lead to rapid cooling overnight, while cloud cover can trap heat, significantly impacting the daily minimum.

Is this market based on the average temperature of the day?

No, this market tracks specifically the single lowest temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of April 6, 2026.

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