| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° to 57° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 58° to 59° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 60° to 61° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 62° to 63° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 64° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded at Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas on April 21, 2026. These data points provide critical insights into desert climate variability and seasonal transition patterns in Southern Nevada.
Las Vegas weather in late April is characterized by the rapid transition from mild spring conditions to the onset of early summer heat. While daytime highs often reach the 80s, the desert's high diurnal temperature range frequently results in significantly cooler overnight lows. Historically, April temperatures at the airport have fluctuated based on prevailing wind patterns and Pacific moisture systems.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how specific meteorological patterns and climate trends will impact overnight cooling in the Mojave Desert on the specified date.
The official data source for this market is the National Weather Service reporting station located at Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas.
The outcome is determined by the specific integer or range threshold defined in the market contract specifications, typically following standard rounding protocols used by the NWS.
Low humidity levels in the desert allow for rapid heat dissipation once the sun sets, which often leads to significant drops in temperature regardless of how warm the daily high was.
While late April is generally stable, historical records show significant variance depending on whether a cold front or a high-pressure system dominates the region.
Yes, urban density and the 'urban heat island' effect can lead to higher overnight minimums compared to the surrounding desert, which is accounted for in the airport's official readings.