| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 48° to 49° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50° to 51° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 52° to 53° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° to 55° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market allows participants to forecast the official minimum temperature recorded in Las Vegas on April 15, 2026. These data points provide insight into regional climate trends and the variability of spring weather in the Mojave Desert.
Las Vegas experiences significant temperature fluctuations during mid-April as the region transitions from spring to the intense heat of summer. Historical weather data for this date shows a wide range of lows, influenced by desert topography and synoptic-scale atmospheric patterns. Meteorologists track these shifts to understand regional climate stability and seasonal transitions.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of participants regarding the most likely temperature range, reflecting meteorological forecasts and historical climate data.
The official result is based on temperature data recorded at the National Weather Service station at Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas.
The high desert environment often results in substantial differences between daytime highs and nighttime lows, making accurate temperature forecasting for a specific date challenging.
In the event of official data unavailability, the market will rely on secondary verified reports from the National Weather Service or established climate authorities.
No, this market tracks the official air temperature recorded by the thermometer, not adjusted values like wind chill or heat index.
While climate trends can be modeled years in advance, precise daily temperature forecasts are typically only accurate within a 7- to 10-day window.