| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 49° to 50° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° to 54° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55° to 56° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 57° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily low temperature recorded in Houston, Texas, on April 7, 2026. It serves as a tool for participants to hedge against or speculate on regional climate variations.
Houston typically experiences moderate spring weather in early April, but local temperatures are heavily influenced by the progression of cold fronts from the north and the prevailing humidity from the Gulf of Mexico. Historical climate data for the region during this time of year often shows a wide range of variance due to the transitional nature of the spring season.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how extreme or mild the weather conditions will be on that specific date based on meteorological trends and seasonal patterns.
The official daily low temperature as reported by the National Weather Service (NWS) station at Houston Intercontinental Airport (IAH).
It is defined as the minimum air temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 7, 2026, in local time.
Yes, the daily minimum is usually observed during the early morning hours, though it can occur at any point within the 24-hour cycle if a strong cold front passes through.
April is a transitional month in Texas where the contrast between lingering cool air masses and rising spring warmth can lead to unpredictable temperature fluctuations.
In the event of missing or erroneous official data, the market will rely on secondary data from official NWS reporting channels to verify the minimum temperature.