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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in Denver on Mar 30, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
47° or below 0%
$0 Trade →
48° to 49° 0%
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50° to 51° 0%
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52° to 53° 0%
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54° to 55° 0%
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56° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Denver, Colorado, on March 30, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against or speculating on late-winter weather volatility in the Rocky Mountain region.

Denver’s climate in late March is notoriously transitional, often characterized by the tension between lingering winter storms and early spring warming. Historical data shows significant variance in end-of-March temperatures due to the city's high altitude and proximity to the Front Range, which frequently triggers rapid shifts in air pressure and temperature. Meteorologists look to regional circulation patterns to forecast these specific daily extremes.

Market prices represent the collective wisdom of participants regarding the expected climate conditions for this specific spring date. Adjust your expectations based on shifting seasonal climate outlooks and historical meteorological trends.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which weather station's data determines the official result for this market?

The official reading is typically derived from the National Weather Service data recorded at Denver International Airport (DIA).

Does the market consider the 'feels like' temperature or the actual recorded temperature?

This market relies on the actual ambient air temperature recorded by official meteorological equipment, excluding wind chill or humidity-adjusted indices.

What happens if a significant weather event or natural disaster occurs in Denver on this date?

The market remains tied to the official temperature reading provided by the primary meteorological source, regardless of specific weather severity or local disruption.

How does the altitude of Denver impact the volatility of this market?

Denver's high elevation often leads to large diurnal temperature ranges, meaning the gap between the day's high and low can be substantial and difficult to predict weeks in advance.

Are there historical precedents for extreme cold in late March in Denver?

Yes, late March in Denver has historically experienced both record warmth and late-season snowstorms, making the range of possible outcomes quite wide.

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