| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49° to 50° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° to 54° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 46° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 47° to 48° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the lowest air temperature recorded for Denver will be on March 20, 2026. It matters to traders and weather-interested participants because daily minimums reflect short-term weather extremes that affect energy demand, travel, and outdoor activities.
Denver's early‑spring weather can swing from subfreezing nights to mild afternoons due to its elevation, proximity to the Rocky Mountains, and fast-moving frontal systems. Markets like this reference an official observing station and settle against the authoritative recorded minimum for the calendar day specified in the market rules.
Market odds express collective expectations about which temperature range will be the minimum on that date; they change as new forecast information arrives. Always consult the market's settlement rules and the official data source to interpret prices correctly.
The market will settle to the official minimum temperature reported for the Denver observing station specified in the market rules; this is typically the daily minimum recorded by the National Weather Service or the designated reporting authority for that station.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; settlement will occur after the official daily minimum for March 20, 2026 is published by the designated reporting source and after any short dispute or correction window defined in the market rules.
The event uses the local calendar day for Denver (Mountain Time) as defined in the market rules; because the United States observes daylight saving time in mid‑March, March 20, 2026 is within Mountain Daylight Time—confirm the rules for exact boundaries.
Combine climatological March normals and past March 20 minima for Denver with current model forecasts (surface temp trends, expected fronts, cloud cover, and snowpack) and short‑range observations as the date approaches to update your view.
Yes—many markets follow the designated authority's final vetted value and allow a defined correction/dispute period; check the market's settlement policy to see how post‑observation adjustments are handled and when a result becomes final.