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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in Denver on Apr 6, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
32° or below 0%
$0 Trade →
33° to 34° 0%
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35° to 36° 0%
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37° to 38° 0%
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39° to 40° 0%
$0 Trade →
41° or above 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market tracks the official minimum temperature recorded at Denver International Airport on April 6, 2026. Weather data is a critical input for energy grid management, agricultural planning, and retail forecasting.

Denver's climate in early April is defined by the transition from winter to spring, characterized by significant day-to-day volatility. Historical data shows that temperatures can fluctuate drastically due to the city's high altitude and proximity to the Rocky Mountains, which often trigger rapid cold fronts or chinook winds. Determining the overnight low requires monitoring localized pressure systems and atmospheric moisture levels near the station.

Market prices represent the collective expectation of where the daily minimum temperature will settle within specified ranges, reflecting the most recent meteorological forecasts.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which data source determines the official outcome for this market?

The official daily minimum temperature recorded at the official National Weather Service (NWS) observation station at Denver International Airport.

What happens if there is an equipment failure at the Denver weather station?

The market will defer to the official reporting agency, typically the NWS or NOAA, to provide a verified substitute or corrected record for that date.

Does this market account for wind chill or 'feels like' temperatures?

No, this market strictly follows the actual ambient air temperature recorded by the standard thermometer at the official monitoring station.

Why is April 6th historically volatile for Denver temperatures?

April is one of Denver's snowiest months, as the collision of warm spring air and lingering cold air masses often creates unpredictable temperature swings.

How is the 'lowest temperature' defined for this contract?

It is defined as the minimum ambient temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 6, 2026, in Mountain Standard Time.

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