| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 32° to 33° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 34° to 35° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 36° to 37° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 38° to 39° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 40° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Denver, Colorado, on April 3, 2026. It serves as a benchmark for local climate variability and regional weather forecasting accuracy.
Denver’s spring weather is notoriously volatile due to the city's high elevation and proximity to the Rocky Mountains, which frequently cause rapid pressure changes. Historical records for early April show a wide range of outcomes, as the region can experience anything from late-season blizzards to unseasonably warm spring afternoons. Meteorological data from official stations, typically at Denver International Airport, serves as the definitive source for this measurement.
Market participants effectively aggregate professional meteorological forecasts and climate trends to estimate the likelihood of specific temperature ranges occurring on that date.
The market relies on official data reported by the National Weather Service (NWS) as recorded at the designated primary observation station in Denver.
It represents the minimum temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 3, 2026, according to official climate reports.
The settlement is determined by the official data provided by the relevant meteorological authority, regardless of operational disruptions at the station site itself.
Denver's altitude of approximately 5,280 feet leads to thinner air that cools rapidly at night, often creating a wider spread between daily highs and lows compared to lower-elevation cities.
No, this market tracks actual ambient air temperature only, not the 'feels-like' temperature or wind chill index.