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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in Denver on Apr 21, 2026?

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Markets
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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
42° or below 0%
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43° to 44° 0%
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45° to 46° 0%
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47° to 48° 0%
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49° to 50° 0%
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51° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Denver, Colorado, on April 21, 2026. Precise temperature data is vital for meteorological analysis and regional agricultural planning.

Denver’s climate in late April is notoriously volatile due to its high altitude and position near the Rocky Mountains. Historical records show that late-spring cold fronts can trigger significant temperature swings, often resulting in either unseasonably warm afternoons or sudden overnight freezes. These conditions make accurate seasonal forecasting a significant challenge for local meteorologists and residents alike.

Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how weather patterns will manifest on the target date based on historical climate data and long-range seasonal forecasts.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Where is the official temperature for this event measured?

The official temperature is recorded at the primary station at Denver International Airport (KDEN), which serves as the standard for NWS Denver/Boulder data.

Does this market account for wind chill or 'feels like' temperatures?

No, this market tracks the actual air temperature recorded by standardized sensors, excluding wind chill or heat index variables.

What happens if there is an extreme weather event on April 21, 2026?

The market relies on the official data published by the National Weather Service, regardless of the severity of the weather conditions that occurred.

Why is April 21 a significant date for Denver weather?

Late April is a transition period in Colorado, marking the tail end of the high-probability window for spring snowstorms and the onset of typical spring warming trends.

How is the 'lowest temperature' defined for the calendar day?

The lowest temperature is defined as the minimum dry-bulb temperature recorded within the 24-hour period of the calendar date (local time) at the designated station.

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