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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in Denver on Apr 2, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
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$0
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Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
34° or below 0%
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35° to 36° 0%
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37° to 38° 0%
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39° to 40° 0%
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41° to 42° 0%
$0 Trade →
43° or above 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market tracks the official minimum temperature recorded in Denver, Colorado, on April 2, 2026. It serves as a data-driven gauge for atmospheric conditions during the transition from early spring to late winter in the Front Range region.

Denver’s climate in early April is notoriously volatile, influenced by the convergence of cold air masses from the north and moisture from the Pacific. Historically, this time of year can see everything from spring-like warmth to late-season snowstorms, making temperature forecasting highly dependent on localized jet stream patterns. Official readings are typically sourced from measurements at Denver International Airport.

Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of meteorological models and historical climate data regarding the temperature range for this specific date.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Where is the official temperature measurement taken?

The data is typically sourced from the National Weather Service station located at Denver International Airport (DIA).

What historical extremes have occurred in Denver in early April?

Early April in Denver has historically ranged from record-breaking cold temperatures well below freezing to unseasonably warm afternoons exceeding 70 degrees Fahrenheit.

Does this market account for wind chill?

No, this market tracks the ambient air temperature recorded at the measurement station, not the perceived temperature inclusive of wind chill.

How do sudden spring snowstorms impact the outcome?

Spring snowstorms in Denver often cause significant temperature drops, potentially shifting the outcome into lower temperature brackets if a storm system aligns with the date.

What happens if there is a discrepancy between different weather reporting agencies?

Final settlement relies on the official climate data provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) or the National Weather Service.

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