| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 45° to 46° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 47° to 48° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 49° to 50° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Dallas, Texas, on April 7, 2026. Traders analyze historical climate data and long-range meteorological forecasts to predict the localized impact of spring weather patterns.
April in North Texas is characterized by transitional weather, often influenced by the clash of lingering cold fronts from the north and warm, moist air arriving from the Gulf of Mexico. Historical data for this region in early April typically shows significant volatility in nighttime lows, which are subject to atmospheric conditions like cloud cover, humidity levels, and wind speed. This market captures the inherent uncertainty of predicting specific temperature thresholds months in advance.
The market prices reflect the collective expectation of where the thermometer will settle, with fluctuations representing shifts in updated weather modeling and climate projections.
The market relies on the official daily minimum temperature reading recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (DFW).
It represents the minimum temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of the calendar day April 7, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service.
No, the resolution is based strictly on the ambient air temperature recorded by the standard meteorological station equipment.
Market resolution protocols typically follow the official data reported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) regardless of airport operations.
Resolution is determined by the official raw reading provided by the primary meteorological source, consistent with the standard precision of the published bins.