| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50° to 51° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 52° to 53° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 54° to 55° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 56° to 57° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 58° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the daily minimum temperature recorded in Dallas, Texas, on April 21, 2026. It serves as a localized hedge or speculative instrument for those monitoring North Texas meteorological trends.
Dallas experiences a transitional climate in late April, often characterized by significant variability due to shifting air masses. Historical data for this region shows that while late spring days are typically mild, the specific daily minimum is highly sensitive to cold front arrivals and overnight atmospheric conditions. Traders often look at long-range climate models and historical averages to gauge the likelihood of temperature ranges during this specific window.
The odds reflect the collective expectation of market participants regarding future weather patterns as calculated by meteorological forecasting models.
The official temperature data is derived from the National Weather Service (NWS) observations at Dallas Love Field or Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, as specified in the market rules.
April 21 falls in the heart of spring in Texas, a period known for high volatility where temperatures can swing significantly depending on whether the region is under the influence of a tropical air mass or a post-frontal cool air mass.
The 'lowest temperature' refers to the absolute minimum temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 21, 2026, as reported by the designated weather station.
The market resolves based on the official, final recorded reading from the designated weather station, regardless of whether that reading was influenced by anomalous or extreme weather conditions.
Yes, traders can analyze decades of historical weather data for Dallas from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to understand the typical range of temperatures for late April.