| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 31° to 32° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 33° to 34° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 35° to 36° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 37° to 38° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 39° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Chicago on April 6, 2026. Traders use this to speculate on spring weather variability in the Midwest.
Chicago's weather in early April is notoriously volatile, often characterized by the transition between late winter cold fronts and early spring warmth. Historical data indicates that while average lows are typically above freezing, significant fluctuations occur due to shifting jet stream patterns and proximity to Lake Michigan. This market serves as a barometer for seasonal climate trends and atmospheric volatility in the Chicago region.
Market prices represent the collective expectation for the official temperature, reflecting insights from meteorological forecasts and historical climate patterns.
The official temperature is recorded at the primary NWS monitoring station at Chicago O'Hare International Airport.
The market relies on the official recorded data from the National Weather Service regardless of weather severity.
No, the market strictly tracks the actual recorded air temperature, not the 'feels like' wind chill value.
It is the absolute minimum temperature reached during the 24-hour period of April 6, 2026, as reported by official government records.
Yes, traders heavily weigh historical climatological data for early April in Chicago to establish a baseline for their predictions.