| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 30° to 31° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 32° to 33° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 34° to 35° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 36° to 37° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 38° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official lowest temperature recorded in Boston, Massachusetts, on April 7, 2026. Weather derivatives like this allow participants to hedge against or speculate on climate variability and extreme weather events.
Boston’s early April weather is defined by the transition from winter to spring, often resulting in high day-to-day volatility. Historical data for this date typically reflects a mix of lingering cold fronts from the north and warmer air masses arriving from the Atlantic or the interior, making it a challenging period for meteorological forecasting.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how the spring climate cycle will influence Boston's temperature on this specific day compared to historical norms.
The official daily minimum temperature reported by the National Weather Service station at Boston Logan International Airport.
The market relies on the official recorded data from the designated weather station, regardless of how extreme or anomalous the weather conditions may be.
The lowest temperature is the single minimum value recorded during the 24-hour period of April 7, usually occurring in the early morning hours.
No, this market tracks only the actual ambient air temperature measured by official equipment, excluding wind chill or heat index calculations.
Yes, the measurement corresponds to the calendar day in Eastern Time as recorded in official National Weather Service reports.