| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 32° to 33° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 34° to 35° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 36° to 37° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 38° to 39° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 40° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official minimum temperature recorded in Boston, Massachusetts, on April 6, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against weather-related volatility or speculating on regional climate trends.
April in Boston is a transitional period characterized by the end of winter and the arrival of spring. Historical data shows significant variability during this time, driven by shifting maritime influence from the Atlantic and cold fronts descending from the north. This market relies on data provided by official meteorological stations, typically located at Logan International Airport.
Participants interpret the market prices as the aggregate expectation of the collective intelligence regarding the likelihood of specific temperature ranges occurring.
The market typically relies on the official climate data collected at Logan International Airport as reported by the National Weather Service.
Settlement is governed by the official record provided by the designated weather authority; unusual circumstances are handled according to the contract's specific rulebook regarding source reporting.
It refers to the minimum air temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 6, 2026, in local time.
No, the market strictly tracks the actual ambient air temperature measured by standard meteorological equipment.
As April 6, 2026, approaches, new meteorological data and seasonal forecasts will cause market participants to adjust their positions based on updated outlooks.