| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 35° to 36° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 37° to 38° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 39° to 40° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 41° to 42° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 43° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Boston on April 19, 2026. It provides a way to hedge against or speculate on meteorological volatility in New England during the mid-spring season.
April in Boston is a transitional period characterized by significant temperature swings as the region moves from winter to late spring. Historical data shows that daily lows during this month can fluctuate dramatically depending on the positioning of the jet stream and the influence of cold air masses coming off the Atlantic or from the interior.
Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how extreme or mild the early spring weather will be on this specific date.
This market relies on the official temperature readings recorded by the National Weather Service at Logan International Airport in Boston.
The market outcome is determined solely by the official minimum temperature reading reported by the authorized weather authority, regardless of the weather conditions.
The lowest temperature is the official daily minimum recorded during the 24-hour period of April 19, 2026, as reported in the official climate summary.
Yes, the daily minimum is calculated based on the 24-hour cycle of the calendar day, typically encompassing the early morning hours when temperatures are at their lowest.
Yes, the National Weather Service maintains extensive historical climate archives for Boston, which can be reviewed to understand the range of typical, record-high, and record-low temperatures for this date.