| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 57° to 58° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 59° to 60° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 61° to 62° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 63° to 64° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 65° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded at Austin, Texas, on March 30, 2026. It serves as a financial instrument for hedging against or speculating on late-spring weather variability in Central Texas.
Austin experiences significant temperature fluctuations during late March as the region transitions from winter to spring. Historical data shows that daily minimums can range from chilly mornings near freezing to mild evenings, heavily influenced by cold fronts sweeping down from the Great Plains. These outcomes are officially verified using data from the National Weather Service stations located at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of traders regarding upcoming seasonal weather patterns and long-range meteorological forecasts.
The market relies on official data provided by the National Weather Service (NWS) as recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport station.
In the event of station equipment failure or a lack of official reporting, the market will look to secondary NWS sources or designated meteorological databases to verify the official temperature.
Late March is a period of transition where the region often sees a high degree of volatility, with potential for both late-season freezes and early-spring warmth.
The minimum temperature is measured over a 24-hour cycle corresponding to the official calendar day in the local time zone of the observation station.
No, the market tracks the lowest temperature reached at any point during the 24-hour period on March 30, 2026, which frequently occurs just before or at sunrise.