| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 44° to 45° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 46° to 47° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 48° to 49° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50° to 51° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 52° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded at Austin, Texas, on April 6, 2026. It serves as a localized hedge or speculative instrument for those interested in Central Texas spring climate volatility.
April in Austin represents a transitional period where the region moves from mild spring weather toward the onset of pre-summer heat. Historically, minimum temperatures during this window fluctuate based on the passage of cold fronts and the influence of high-pressure systems moving off the Gulf of Mexico.
Market prices represent the collective expectation of future weather patterns, reflecting how traders weigh long-range meteorological forecasts and historical temperature averages for early April.
The market utilizes official readings from the National Weather Service (NWS) designated observation station for Austin, Texas.
No, this market tracks the raw, dry-bulb air temperature as recorded by standard meteorological instruments.
Standard practice involves utilizing secondary high-quality station data or official NWS adjustments to determine the final reading.
Early April is characterized by moderate variability as the region shifts between cool, Canadian-origin air masses and warm, humid maritime air.
It is defined as the lowest ambient temperature recorded during the 24-hour calendar day of April 6, 2026, in Central Time.