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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in Austin on Apr 3, 2026?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
6
Markets
6

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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
62° or below 0%
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63° to 64° 0%
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65° to 66° 0%
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67° to 68° 0%
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69° to 70° 0%
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71° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport for April 3, 2026. These data points are vital for understanding regional climate trends and local seasonal variability.

Austin experiences significant temperature fluctuations during early April as the region transitions from late winter patterns to true spring. Historical data suggests the area can encounter anything from lingering cool fronts to early heat waves during this specific calendar window. Market participants monitor long-range climate models and meteorological reports to anticipate the potential for extreme weather events.

Market prices serve as an aggregation of meteorological forecasting and statistical analysis regarding the probability of specific temperature ranges occurring in Austin on that date.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

Which weather station provides the official data for this market?

The official record is the daily minimum temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).

What happens if there is a discrepancy in reported temperature data?

The market will resolve based on the official final data published by the National Weather Service (NWS) or NOAA for the designated station.

How does the date of April 3 impact the temperature range?

April 3 is situated in a transitional period where the risk of late-season frost is low but still possible, while daytime highs typically climb significantly, influencing the morning low.

Does this market account for wind chill or 'feels like' temperatures?

No, the market is strictly based on the actual measured ambient air temperature at the designated station.

Why is the minimum temperature chosen rather than the average or maximum?

Minimum temperature, typically occurring just before sunrise, is a standard metric for meteorological reporting and provides a consistent baseline for climate trend analysis.

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