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Climate and Weather OPEN

Lowest temperature in Austin on Apr 21, 2026?

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Active Markets
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Markets
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All Outcomes (6)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
51° or below 0%
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52° to 53° 0%
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54° to 55° 0%
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56° to 57° 0%
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58° to 59° 0%
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60° or above 0%
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About This Market

This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Austin, Texas, on April 21, 2026. Predicting localized weather events helps assess climate volatility and seasonal trends in Central Texas.

April in Austin is a transitional period characterized by significant day-to-day temperature variability. Historically, the city experiences mild spring conditions, but unseasonable cold fronts or lingering winter patterns can significantly impact nightly lows. Weather data for this market is sourced from official meteorological reporting stations designated for Austin climate records.

Market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how the specific weather conditions will deviate from historical climate norms for that calendar date.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What data source is used to determine the official low temperature?

The market relies on official data provided by the National Weather Service (NWS) observation station for Austin.

What happens if there is a record-breaking weather event?

The market resolves based strictly on the finalized, official data recorded for that calendar day, regardless of whether the temperature is considered extreme or average.

Does the time of day matter for this reading?

Yes, the 'lowest temperature' refers to the minimum temperature recorded during the 24-hour period of April 21, 2026, typically occurring during the early morning hours.

How does the geography of Austin affect this prediction?

Austin's location at the edge of the Hill Country means temperatures can fluctuate significantly depending on altitude and proximity to localized wind patterns.

Is the temperature measured in Fahrenheit or Celsius?

This market utilizes Fahrenheit, the standard unit for weather reporting in the United States.

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