| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 47° to 48° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 49° to 50° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° to 54° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded at the primary reporting station in Austin, Texas, on April 19, 2026. It serves as a data-driven gauge for short-term climatic variability in Central Texas during the spring transition.
April in Austin is characterized by warming trends as the region moves away from winter. Historical data indicates significant volatility during this month, influenced by shifting cold fronts and the interplay between Gulf of Mexico moisture and continental air masses.
Market participants aggregate meteorological forecasts and historical climate distributions to reflect expectations of local temperature conditions on the specified date.
Official temperature data is typically derived from the National Weather Service (NWS) observations recorded at the designated primary station for Austin, Texas.
It refers to the minimum daily temperature reading officially recorded by the reporting station during the 24-hour calendar day of April 19, 2026.
Extreme events are included in the official climate records provided by weather authorities, which serve as the final resolution data for this market.
No, the market is specifically indexed to the official weather station designated as the climate record point for Austin.
Mid-April represents a transitional period in Texas where the region is frequently caught between retreating winter air masses from the north and advancing tropical air from the south.