| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 44° to 45° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 46° to 47° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 48° to 49° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 50° to 51° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 52° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market allows participants to forecast the daily minimum temperature recorded at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport on April 7, 2026. It serves as a tool for hedging against climate-related volatility or speculating on localized weather patterns.
Atlanta's early April weather is characterized by the transition from late winter to mid-spring, often resulting in significant temperature variability. Historical data for this region shows that overnight lows during this period are influenced by shifting cold fronts from the north and the prevailing influence of the Gulf of Mexico. Extreme cold snaps or unseasonably warm nights can deviate significantly from the monthly averages.
The prices in this market reflect the collective outlook of participants regarding the most likely temperature range for that specific date based on meteorological trends and seasonal models.
The official result is determined by the data recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL), as this is the standard reference point for Atlanta's official climate reporting.
In the event of a station outage or data discrepancy, the market will rely on official reports from the National Weather Service (NWS) or their designated secondary verification sources for that location.
The outcomes for this market are measured in degrees Fahrenheit, consistent with standard meteorological reporting in the United States.
This market tracks the actual air temperature recorded by the thermometer, not the 'feels like' or wind-chill adjusted temperature.
The lowest temperature specifically refers to the single minimum value recorded during the 24-hour period of April 7, 2026, rather than an average across the day or month.