| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 47° to 48° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 49° to 50° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° to 54° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official daily minimum temperature recorded in Atlanta, Georgia, on April 21, 2026. It serves as a financial derivative for weather volatility and temperature fluctuations in the Southeastern United States.
Atlanta's climate in late April is characterized by a transition toward spring, typically resulting in moderate morning temperatures as the region moves away from winter frost. Historically, this period exhibits significant variance due to shifting cold fronts and high-pressure systems moving across the Appalachian range. Participants typically monitor regional meteorological forecasts and historical climate averages to gauge the potential for unseasonable cold snaps or early heat spikes.
The market prices reflect the aggregate expectation of the lowest daily temperature, with higher-priced contracts indicating the market consensus for a specific temperature range.
The outcome is based on the official daily minimum temperature recorded at the primary reporting station for Atlanta, typically Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, by the National Weather Service.
The market will settle based on the official, verified temperature reading provided by the National Weather Service, regardless of the severity of the weather conditions.
Yes, the lowest temperature in a 24-hour period usually occurs in the early morning hours, typically just before or at sunrise.
Trading is available leading up to the date of the event, with liquidity often shifting as meteorological forecasts become more accurate closer to April 2026.
Historically, Atlanta lows in late April generally range between the mid-40s and mid-50s degrees Fahrenheit, though annual variance remains high.