| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46° or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 47° to 48° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 49° to 50° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 51° to 52° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 53° to 54° | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 55° or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market allows participants to predict the daily minimum temperature recorded in Atlanta, Georgia, on April 19, 2026. It serves as a localized gauge for climate variability and meteorological modeling for a specific spring date.
April in Atlanta is a transitional month characterized by significant variability, as the region shifts away from late-winter cold snaps toward humid subtropical spring conditions. Historical data from the National Weather Service provides a baseline, but annual fluctuations driven by atmospheric circulation patterns make precise daily temperature forecasting challenging. This market captures the consensus of data-driven market participants regarding anticipated weather outcomes.
The market prices reflect the collective expectation of weather models and historical trends; higher or lower prices indicate the market's assessment of where the final daily minimum will land relative to the defined ranges.
The official reading is typically derived from the National Weather Service (NWS) station at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport.
Spring is marked by the clash of air masses, where lingering cold air from the north can meet warming southern air, leading to rapid fluctuations in overnight low temperatures.
Markets typically rely on the final, verified climatological data reported by the National Weather Service for the specified date.
Participants should review multi-year climatological normals for mid-April to understand the typical range of daily minimums in the Atlanta metropolitan area.
Yes, the market tracks the daily minimum temperature, which is the lowest ambient air temperature reached between midnight and 11:59 PM on April 19, 2026.