| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1.59 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.79 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $1.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2.19 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2.59 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2.79 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $2.39 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which listed outcome will correspond to the lowest natural gas spot price observed during calendar year 2026. The timing of the year’s low matters to traders, utilities, and planners because it signals shifts in supply, demand, weather-driven consumption, and storage dynamics.
Natural gas spot prices are driven by seasonal demand (heating and cooling), production and export levels, storage inventories, and infrastructure availability. Historical lows and highs are influenced by weather extremes, changes in shale production and LNG flows, and broader commodity market conditions; those same forces will shape outcomes in 2026.
Market prices on the platform represent the collective view of traders about which outcome will be resolved as the lowest spot price in 2026 and update as new information arrives. They are market-implied assessments, not guarantees, and should be interpreted alongside fundamental data and news.
Resolution follows the market’s published settlement rules and the official price source specified on the market page; the winning outcome is determined using the referenced spot-price data feed and any timing or tie-break rules described in the market terms.
The event covers the calendar period defined in the market’s rules—typically the start of January 1, 2026 through the end of December 31, 2026 in the timezone specified by the market; check the market page for the precise cutoffs and timezone.
Each outcome label corresponds to a specific date, month, or predefined price-range label shown on the market page; review the outcome descriptions on the market to see exactly which dates or ranges each option represents.
Tie-break procedures are defined in the market’s settlement rules—common approaches include awarding the outcome tied to the earliest occurrence or following a specified secondary rule—so consult the market’s resolution policy for the exact method.
Yes. Settlement relies on the official data feed and the platform’s protocols for corrections; material data revisions or trading interruptions are handled according to the market’s published resolution and dispute policies and can affect timing or final determination.