| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharice Davids | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Christy Davis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anne Parelkar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Erik Murray | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sandy Spidel Neumann | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Soetaert | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Holland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Laura Kelly | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Patrick Schmidt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Noah Taylor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which person will become the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate from Kansas; it matters because the nominee shapes general‑election competitiveness and party strategy in the state.
Kansas is a state with a recent history of Republican advantages in Senate races, though Democrats have been competitive in select cycles when a moderate nominee or unique circumstances emerge. Primary dynamics, candidate quality, fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns determine who secures the party nomination.
Market prices aggregate trader expectations and react to new information; they represent the market's current consensus view, not a guarantee, and can change quickly as events unfold.
The market's event page displays the eight current outcome labels; check that list on the market interface because outcome names can be updated if candidates enter, change affiliation, or withdraw.
The close time is listed as TBD; market closure is set by the operator and is typically aligned with a relevant milestone such as the state primary, official nominee certification, or a predetermined administrative deadline — watch the event page for updates.
Withdrawals and endorsements usually trigger rapid price movement as traders update expectations; the market operator may also suspend trading, remove or replace outcomes, or settle according to the platform's rules — consult the event rules for exact procedures.
Volume is a measure of liquidity and participant interest: higher volume generally means easier trading and faster price discovery, while lower volume can lead to wider spreads and more volatile prices; consider volume when sizing orders.
Past cycles show that candidate ideology, fundraising, and appeal to suburban and urban voters can matter more than party label alone; historical context can inform expectations, but each cycle is influenced by its specific candidates, turnout, and national environment.