| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -25,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 10,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 20,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 30,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 40,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 50,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 60,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 70,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 80,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 90,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 100,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 125,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the headline jobs result for September 2026, a key monthly indicator of labor-market strength that influences growth and monetary policy expectations.
Monthly jobs releases (commonly known as the employment situation) summarize payroll employment, the unemployment rate, and other labor-market indicators; markets and policymakers closely watch September because seasonal hiring patterns and end-of-summer transitions can shift outcomes. Historical context matters: prior trends, recent revisions, and large one-off events (industry strikes, major layoffs, or stimulus changes) can materially change the reported numbers.
Market prices aggregate participant expectations about the specified official release and move as new data or news arrive; they are a real-time signal of market sentiment, not a guaranteed prediction of the final official print.
Closure and resolution timing are set by the market's rules on the platform; many jobs markets close at or shortly after the official government release for the relevant month. Check the market page for the definitive close time and any updates if it currently shows 'TBD'.
The market will resolve based on the specific official series named in its resolution text (for example, the national monthly employment report published for September 2026). Always read the market's resolution criteria to confirm the exact source and metric used.
September often sees shifts from summer hiring and the start of the school year, which can alter sectoral employment patterns and seasonal-adjusted totals; traders factor in these recurring calendar effects and recent revision history when positioning the market.
Participants usually include macro traders, economists, institutional hedgers, and informed retail traders; price movement tends to spike around relevant macro commentary, corporate labor announcements, and the official release itself.
Resolution typically follows the initial official figure specified in the market rules; subsequent revisions usually do not change a settled outcome unless the market explicitly states it will use a revised or later-published series—consult the market’s resolution text for this detail.