| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -25,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 10,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 20,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 30,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 40,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 50,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 60,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 70,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 80,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 90,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 100,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 125,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the official jobs numbers for June 2026 will print and matters because monthly employment reports are a primary signal of labor‑market health, influencing financial markets and policy decisions.
The monthly jobs report (commonly the U.S. nonfarm payrolls and related labor metrics) is produced from two surveys: an establishment survey for payroll levels and a household survey for unemployment and participation. Policymakers, investors, and businesses watch the June release for signs of persistent strength or cooling in employment, mindful that monthly headlines are often revised and influenced by seasonal patterns and one‑off events.
Prediction market prices represent the market’s collective expectations about which predefined outcome (usually a numeric range or bin) will be reported for June 2026; treat prices as continually updating signals, not official statistics.
For U.S. employment measures, the Bureau of Labor Statistics typically publishes the Employment Situation for a reference month on the first Friday after that month ends, at 8:30 AM Eastern; check the contract description to confirm this market links to that specific release.
Contract wording determines the referenced series; many June jobs markets reference the nonfarm payroll change from the BLS establishment survey, while others reference unemployment rate or ranges — always read the market’s outcome definitions to confirm.
Listed outcomes are usually predetermined numeric bins (for example, intervals of job gains or ranges for an unemployment rate). The platform’s event page will show the precise boundaries for each of the 13 outcome buckets.
This market settles on the official June 2026 figure as released; revisions to earlier months do not change the June release itself but can shift market expectations ahead of publication and therefore affect trading prices.
Movers include weekly initial unemployment claims, private payroll estimates (e.g., ADP), major company layoff/hiring announcements, purchasing‑managers indexes with employment subcomponents, and central bank communications about labor and inflation — all provide new information that traders use to update expectations for June.