| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the preliminary year-over-year inflation rate in Italy for March 2026, as reported by ISTAT, the Italian National Institute of Statistics. This metric is a primary indicator of domestic price stability and serves as a critical input for both national economic policy and European Central Bank interest rate decisions.
Italy's inflation trajectory is heavily influenced by energy import costs and broader Eurozone monetary policy. Since the post-pandemic price surges, the Italian economy has focused on stabilizing core inflation while navigating structural challenges related to national debt and energy transitions. Market participants monitor these releases to gauge the effectiveness of the ECB's monetary tightening cycles and Italy’s internal fiscal adjustments.
The price of each outcome reflects the collective market sentiment regarding the specific range where Italy's March 2026 inflation rate will settle.
The official preliminary inflation data (NIC index) published by ISTAT is the sole source of truth for this market.
The preliminary release is an early estimate based on partial data; while highly accurate, it can occasionally differ slightly from the final revised figures released later.
As part of the Eurozone, Italy is subject to ECB monetary policy; higher interest rates are intended to curb inflation by tempering demand across the bloc.
This market is settled based on the initial preliminary report provided by ISTAT at the time of the release; subsequent revisions do not retroactively change the outcome.
March 2026 provides a mid-year snapshot that reflects how well the Italian economy has adjusted to long-term inflation targets set by European regulators.