| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market predicts the preliminary year-over-year inflation rate for Italy in April 2026, as reported by ISTAT, the Italian National Institute of Statistics. Inflation data is a critical gauge of domestic price stability and serves as a key indicator for both Italian fiscal policy and broader Eurozone economic health.
Italy's inflation trajectory is heavily influenced by energy costs, global supply chain dynamics, and European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy. As a major Eurozone economy, Italy often experiences unique inflationary pressures tied to its specific energy import reliance and sovereign debt levels. Monitoring these preliminary figures allows traders to gauge how effectively Italian prices are adjusting to evolving macroeconomic conditions.
Participants use this market to express their views on Italian economic performance, with the outcome determined by the official 'Pre-flash' or 'Preliminary' CPI release for the month of April 2026.
The data is sourced from ISTAT (Istituto Nazionale di Statistica), which publishes the preliminary Italian Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.
This market focuses specifically on the 'preliminary' (prel) reading, which is the initial estimate released before the final, harmonized data is confirmed later in the month.
The market outcome is based on the initial preliminary report; subsequent revisions to the data by ISTAT do not alter the settled outcome of this market.
The ECB manages monetary policy for the entire Eurozone; their interest rate decisions impact borrowing costs for Italian households and businesses, directly affecting demand-side inflation.
The preliminary reading is the first official snapshot provided to the market, often causing immediate volatility in European bond markets and currency pairs like the EUR/USD.